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This short article (with extensive bibliography) surveys at the 20-year mark the consequences of the US regime change, occupation, and nation-building exercise in Afghanistan. Categories Afghanistan War, Featured, Publications, Regional Security, South Asiaīy Carl Conetta, Reset Defense Blog post, 04 February 2021
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This high risk-gambit won’t succeed, but it might prolong the conflict and America’s involvement in it. What goals? Improve Kabul’s military posture, polish plans and preparations for US forces to “fight from afar,” and pursue dramatic new international initiatives aiming to lock the Taliban into a cease-fire, peace settlement, and government reform plan substantially defined by the USA. In this, the lingering troop presence serves as leverage. Using current data and historical precedent, this short analysis shows why.Īn alternative explanation for the delay is that it gave Washington more time to pursue some of its unfinished goals regarding Afghanistan. Actually, logistical issues explain neither. Logistical factors are also supposed to explain why the date may now be walked back to July. The Biden administration insists that logistical factors explain its breach of the 2020 US-Taliban agreement, which reset the exit date from May to September. What is causing the uncertainty about when US ground forces will exit Afghanistan.
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Categories Afghanistan War, Confidence Building Defense, Featured, Regional Security, South Asia, Wars & Military OperationsĬarl Conetta, 19 June 2021 Full text: HTML PDF (updated)
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Against this, the author proposes a stability-oriented approach that would energetically explore areas of possible US-Taliban cooperation, a new positive context in which areas of difference might be productively addressed. And it asks, Can we escape the political and strategic dynamics that produce and sustain such wars? It concludes by examining how some Western powers are now looking to continue the conflict via other means. It shows how intelligence agencies failed to give useful intelligence over a span of not just 4 months, but 20 years. The article examines the war as an enterprise defined from the start by an impossible mission shrouded in misinformation. And it assesses the effort of US interventionists to use public distress about the airport chaos to blunt and distract from an adequate appraisal of the war that produced it. This short article assesses the calamitous end of America’s 20-year war as representative of the war itself. Can the United States escape the vortex of its 20-year war?Ĭarl Conetta, 09 Sept 2021 Full text: HTML